Cyclical coincident indicator of the euro area economy (€-coin)

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€-coin is a cyclical coincident indicator of euro-area economic activity that is updated in real time and released monthly. As such, it offers a monthly and timely estimate of the current state of the economy, free of short-term fluctuations.

The indicator draws on a large number of economic variables (industrial production, business surveys, stock market and financial data, demand indicators, and more) and extracts the information needed for forecasting medium- to long-term GDP growth.

It is published in collaboration with the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).

€-coin remained broadly unchanged in May

  • €-coin remained stable at 0.26 in May, compared with 0.25 in the previous month
  • Its performance benefited from the growth in industrial production and from the moderate recovery in household confidence, despite being affected by the deterioration in the qualitative indicators for service firms.

indicator-eurocoin

Press release

Data

Analysis and methodology

New Eurocoin: A Tutorial Note