No. 879 - Industry dynamics and competition from low-wage countries: evidence on Italy

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by Stefano FedericoSeptember 2012

This paper analyses the effect of competition from low-wage countries on domestic activity, using data on 230 Italian manufacturing sectors between 1995 and 2007. We find that low-wage import penetration is negatively related to employment and other measures of activity. The effect is significantly lower in more skill, capital and R&D-intensive sectors and in more vertically differentiated sectors. There is also evidence of significant effects of low-wage competition through inter-industry linkages: employment is negatively related to low-wage import penetration in downstream sectors but positively related to low-wage import penetration in upstream sectors.

Published in 2014 in: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, v. 76, 3, pp. 389-410

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