Climate risk measurement: NGFS scenarios and possible uses

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On 10 October 2025, Banca d'Italia organized a workshop on Climate risk measurement: NGFS scenarios and possible uses which brought together representatives from the financial system (banks, financial intermediaries and insurance companies) for a discussion on the practical use of climate scenarios, focusing in particular on the scenarios crafted by the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS). During the morning session, keynote speaker Prof. M. Tavoni (Politecnico di Milano, CMCC) provided an overview of the climate scenarios and future possibilities. A dedicated session was then held with concrete examples of scenario application by experts from financial and insurance institutions, who highlighted both the benefits and the operational challenges of using NGFS data. Banca d'Italia researchers also presented the main features and available data of the NGFS, along with its long-term scenarios (up to the year 2100) and newly published short-term scenarios (up to 2030), as well as use cases for research and analysis.

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