Summary
Banca d'Italia deems that the countercyclical capital buffer rate in force for the current quarter, equal to zero per cent, is appropriate in the current macrofinancial context.
Although the total credit-to-GDP gap was gradually improving in the second quarter of 2026, it was still negative by about 6 percentage points, if calculated based on the methodology developed by Banca d'Italia. The bank credit-to-GDP ratio provides similar indications.
The flow of bank lending to the private sector keeps improving. The overall NPL ratio is still at low levels and the unemployment rate remains at a historical low. In the first quarter of 2026 (latest available data), both real house prices and the price gap increased compared with the previous quarter.
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