The Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCyB) rate for the fourth quarter of 2016 has been set at zero per cent

Summary

Based on the analysis of the reference indicators the Bank of Italy has decided to keep the countercyclical capital buffer rate at zero for the fourth quarter of 2016. Specifically:

• In the second quarter of 2016 the deviation of the bank-credit-to-GDP ratio from its long-term trend (the credit-to-GDP gap), calculated using the standard methodology, was about -8 percentage points, substantially unchanged from previous quarter. According to the methodology developed by the Bank of Italy, which takes account of the specificities of Italy's credit cycle, the gap was about -6 points. There are similar findings from the analysis of the total-credit-to-GDP gap for the first quarter of 2016 (the last quarter for which data are available).
• Although the Italian economy's macro-financial conditions are improving, they remain generally weak. The unemployment rate has been almost unchanged over the last few months and it is still at a historically high level. Growth in bank credit to the private sector is slightly positive but business lending continues to be close to zero. Real property prices remain well below their long-term level. Bad loans in proportion to total loans (gross of provisions), although declining, remain high.