No. 356 - What Is the Optimal Institutional Arrangement for a Monetary Union?

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by Leonardo GambacortaJune 1999

The aim of this paper is to design the optimal institutional arrangement for a monetary union. Using a two-country rational expectations model, the study analyses how the conservatism of the area-wide central bank and the penalty system for fiscal deviation (Stability and Growth Pact) should be designed with respect to different economic shocks. The optimal institutional arrangement is also dependent on who is the “leader” of the policy game. When national governments move first, the independent area-wide central bank can exercise greater discipline over national fiscal policies, making the Stability Pact unnecessary.

Published in 2001 in: Economic Notes. Monte dei Paschi di Siena, v. 30, 1, pp. 109-143

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