No. 629 - Monetary policy shocks in the euro area and global liquidity spillovers

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by João Sousa and Andrea ZaghiniJune 2007

We analyse the international transmission of monetary policy shocks with a focus on the effects of foreign liquidity on the euro area. We estimate two domestic structural VAR models for the euro area and then we introduce a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses show that a positive shock to foreign liquidity leads for the euro area to a permanent increases in M3 and in the price level, a temporary rise in real output and a temporary appreciation of the euro real effective exchange rate. Moreover, we find that innovations in global liquidity play an important role in explaining price and output fluctuations.

Published in 2008 in: International Journal of Finance and Economics, v.13, 3, pp. 205-218

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